'When the facts change I change my mind' and so should you.

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Posts tagged with global warming

Medieval Warm Period — fact vs. fiction

The demonstrably false claim that the medieval warming period was warmer than today just won’t die because climate science critics never fail to come up with new recycled reasons as to why they think that it was.

This video looks at the scientific research to answer three basic questions: 1) Was the Medieval Warm Period global? 2) Was it warmer than today? 3) And what does this all mean anyway? I examine the internet feud over the hockey stick and the various myths and misinterpretations about the Medieval Warm Period that seem to be rife on the Internet. My sources for the myths are blogs and videos; my sources for the facts are scientific papers…

potholer54

What a Climate Change Conspiracy Would Mean

I get into a lot of arguments discussions about conspiracies but the one that most bothers me of late is climate change. Over time in these discussions I realized that the alleged conspiracy would have to be the largest ever by a wide margin and, because no one else had, I built up a list of what would have to be true for climate science, as a whole, to be a conspiracy. After the jump is the quite long but still not complete version of this story:

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Is the Science of Global Warming Settled Enough for Policy?

The late Stephen Schneider delivers an engaging talk on the science of climate change and it’s implications for policy. Schneider was great at explaining what the science of climate change is and at helping the average person weed through the absurd media discussion of the topic.

Dr. Schneider is the Inaugural Visitor in the Zurich Financial Services Distinguished Visitors Program on Climate Change. He is the Melvin and Joan Lane Professor for Interdisciplinary Environmental Studies, Professor of Biological Sciences, and a Senior Fellow in the Woods Institute for the Environment at Stanford University. From 1973-1996 he served as a scientist at the National Center for Atmospheric Research, where he co-founded the Climate Project. His research focuses on climate-change science, integrated assessment of ecological and economic impacts of human-induced climate change, and identifying viable climate policies and technological solutions. He has consulted for federal agencies and White House staff in six administrations.

(Source: youtube.com)

Climate Change Denial Fallacies

Some of the funniest exposures of common arguments behind climate change denial I’ve ever seen from a talk on separating skepticism from climate denial by Richard Milne.

(Source: )

Pick’em Practicality

There are several tricks to accomplishing your goals, becoming more rational and communicating skepticism more effectively, here are a few that have caught my attention of late.

*Richard Alley’s new series How to Talk to an Ostrich is an almost perfect example of communicating climate change to those who don’t accept it (the name is the only issue).

*Julia Galef over at Rationally Speaking has a great look at the use of thought experiments in probing your reactions and motivations.

*Beeminder and Stickk offer services that let you bet against yourself, including that money potentially going to charities you despise, in order to accomplish your goals.

*Similarly Prediction Book allows you to wager on your predictive ability with the goal of making you more realistic about your predictive ability in different fields

I have the intention of using several of these tools in the near future. Hopefully I’ll be able to share some success stories soon as well.

Himalayan Glaciers “no melt in 10 years”

The headlines recently announcing no melting of Himalayan glaciers for the past 10 years are, no surprise, not entirely accurate or telling the whole story. That’s what you get for learning your science from the popular press. The rest of the story is far more interesting. As usual, I look at the scientific paper all this hype is based on, and it comes up with something that hasn’t been so widely reported.

potholer54

Monckton responds (part 1/2)

Amazingly famous climate change denialist Christopher Monckton responds to potholer54 pointing out by denying he said what he is on film saying.

Part 2

*corrected

Monckton has responded to my catelogue of his errors, on the website wattsupwiththat.com
It includes an extraordinary reversal of position on most of them, including an outright denial of what he said (needless to say, I have video tape of him saying it.)

SOURCES:
Monckton response at:
http://wattsupwiththat.com/2011/09/18/monckton-answers-a-troll/#more-47641

Monckton’s non-peer-reviewed opinion piece on Forum on Physics and Society discussed in:
Monckton Bunkum 1 — Global cooling and melting ice
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=fbW-aHvjOgM

Monckton’s global cooling graphs:
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=fbW-aHvjOgM

2:35 — Monckton Refutes Abraham: Part 10: NCDC Graphs
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=57L7ujF5RvY

Melting of Greenland ice cap:
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=fbW-aHvjOgM

Arctic ice loss:
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=fbW-aHvjOgM

Snowball Earth:
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=fpF48b6Lsbo

No correlation between CO2 and temp:
“Monckton Bunkum 3 — CORRELATION AND HIMALAYAN GLACIERS”
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=fpF48b6Lsbo

Monckton’s claim on no retreat of glaciers:
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=fpF48b6Lsbo

Monckton’s claims about forcing:
MONCKTON BUNKUM 2 — SENSITIVITY
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=PTY3FnsFZ7Q

Monckton’s claim about Dr. Pinker’s paper:
“Monckton Bunkum 3 — CORRELATION AND HIMALAYAN GLACIERS”
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=fpF48b6Lsbo

Monckton’s misquotes:
“Monckton Bunkum 4 — QUOTES AND MISQUOTES”
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=C3giRaGNTMA

Instances of Monckton getting peer-reviewed papers wrong:
Scafetta and West: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=TRCyctTvuCo
Johannessen: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=fbW-aHvjOgM
Sami Solanki: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=TRCyctTvuCo

Monckton’s claim that warming planets point to sun:
“Apocalypse No!” — film by Christopher Monckton, 2007

Quotes attributed to International Astronomical Union:
16:27 “Monckton Bunkum 5— WHAT MORE ERRORS MY LORD?”
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=TRCyctTvuCo
16:40 “Apocalypse No!” — film by Christopher Monckton, 2007

Climategate mark 2 — the quotes and the context

All the 2011 and 2009 e-mails can be found at http://foia2011.org/index.php?id=2

Newsbusters headline at:
http://newsbusters.org/blogs/noel-sheppard/2011/11/22/climategate-20-5000-new…

Daily Mail story at:
http://www.dailymail.co.uk/sciencetech/article-2066240/Second-leak-climate-em…

And the Daily Mail still believing ‘hide the descline’ refers to global temperatures at:
Daily Mail Hide the decline - http://www.dailymail.co.uk/sciencetech/article-2055191/Scientists-said-climat…

potholer54

This is a day old (that’s 3 years in interwebs time) but I couldn’t find it on tumblr to reblog so excuse my blindness if this is ancient.

reblogged from divineirony

divineirony:

Scientific skepticism is healthy. In fact, science by its very nature is skeptical. Genuine skepticism means considering the full body of evidence before coming to a conclusion. However, when you take a close look at arguments expressing climate ‘skepticism’, what you often observe is cherry picking of pieces of evidence while rejecting any data that don’t fit the desired picture. This isn’t skepticism. It is ignoring facts and the science.

The Scientific Guide to Global Warming Skepticism looks at both the evidence that human activity is causing global warming and the ways that climate ‘skeptic’ arguments can mislead by presenting only small pieces of the puzzle rather than the full picture. 

This is a great site which explains in detail the evidence for climate change and the evidence this is caused by humans while addressing all of the common claims of climate change ‘skeptics.’

“Earth Facing a Mini-Ice Age!!” say the media. Now for the science…

Potholer54 briskly debunks a myth espoused by the Daily Mail and Rush Limbaugh among others.

All his sources are available in the description box on youtube.