'When the facts change I change my mind' and so should you.

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Posts tagged with creationism

Darwin Day and the Creationist Cause

Four score and seven eight years ago our intellectual fathers brought forth the famous Scopes “Monkey” Trial, a legal battle over the teaching of evolution, and those dedicated to the proposition that nothing shall be taught that does, or seems to, undermine popular religious teachings initially won.

Having failed at overt censorship in the intervening decades, however, the creationist cause has recently turned its focus to evermore indirect ways of challenging evolution. When there are not bills being proposed to “teach both sides” (as there are in “across America”) there is still ceaseless pressure on teachers to simply not discuss evolution.

This is why, aside from the joys of learning and discovery, Darwin Day is a reminder to me that the fight against anti-intellectualism, in all its forms, is an ongoing struggle. Simply having the facts be against them isn’t enough to halt the creationist cause. Particularly because, as anyone who has spent time debating professional creationists will acknowledge, honesty apparently isn’t something they hold as important, especially when preaching to the uninformed.

So take the day to enjoy some science, learn something new about life but also remember to stay vigilant in the fight against replacing hard-won knowledge with dogma.

Happy Darwin Day!

My Favorite Terrible Arguments of 2012

Over the course of a year you come across many shockingly poor ideas and arguments in practically every known field. However, some of these claims are so awful I think they deserve special recognition for their unintentional comedy so after the jump are my favorites from the many fields I follow in everything from pseudoscience to economics. And the winners are…

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Cleverly Designed: Gods, Artists and Bayes (2 of 2)

I previously outlined an argument which says we can rule out design as an explanation for life if designers have a massive amount of options but without design there are only a few options, one of which we are observing. That is to say if gods have millions of ways to create life, one of which is evolution, but unguided nature only has a few ways to create life, also one of which is evolution, the the correct inference when you observe evolution is to believe life wasn’t designed. The clever response to this claim I only recently heard is to say whatever we observe could have happened by non-design as well as by design.

So, this argument goes, if we observed tigers can’t reproduce but the species continues to exist and we found a factory which produces tigers in the center of the Earth that wouldn’t count as evidence tigers were designed. After all, it could just be a brute fact about reality that there is a factory underground that produces tigers. In fact, it is possible reality could randomly produce anything you observe. It certainly isn’t logically or physically impossible for this to be the case and therefore no matter what we observe it would be compatible with non-design.

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Cleverly Designed: Gods, Artists and Bayes (1 of 2)

If gods have countless ways to create something that could only come about naturally in a handful of ways, what should we conclude when we observe the phenomenon occurring in a way it can naturally? This is the question which underlies a very clever argument made by someone I know for unguided evolution. To answer this question of the design of life let us consider something we know has human designers: art.

I’m terrible at creating visual art. I can’t draw, paint, sculpt or take a decent photo and, while I occasionally think highly of myself, I’m below average and inefficient at using Photoshop to make up for these deficiencies. Still, because I’m totally incompetent in all other mediums if you see visual art I created it is guaranteed to be the product of Photoshop.

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Evolution

A new and improved version of the already very useful basic explanation of evolution from QualiaSoup. This also is very fitting with something I plan to post later today… *queue the suspenseful music*

Poor PR Decisions: Evolution, God and Design

I think I agree with creationists. No not about the existence of The Real Housewives of Bedrock but about the implications of evolution should have for theism in general and the Biblical religions in particular. Creationist outfits have been telling anyone who would listen that accepting evolution is incompatible with belief in god generally and the Bible in particular and for once I think they are right but naturally for reasons very different from what they’ve been suggesting. Unlike them I readily acknowledge there are lots of Christians and theists in general who accept evolution but the relevant question is are the beliefs really compatible?

The common claim of those who accept theistic evolution that evolution could have been a guided process just isn’t good inference. Modern evolutionary theory places enormous limitations on the history of life on this planet essentially all of which didn’t have to be true. The most common example is the claim that all life has common descent as all life didn’t have to be related but observation and experiment have overwhelmingly confirmed this. Even descent itself didn’t have to be true as a designer isn’t limited to breeding to produce new organisms. A designer just isn’t bound to a “branching tree a life” and could create organisms which have nothing or very little to do with previous organisms which means there were infinite paths to the current set of species.

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Potholer and Hovind Come Together

When is evolution not evolution? Apparently when creationists like Kent Hovind accept everything logically necessary for evolution but still deny it’s possible.

potholer54

You Can Run From Science But You Can’t Hide From Inference

Science can’t disprove religion. In fact, science can’t disprove any supernatural idea. It’s at this point that many theists would be happy to celebrate and claim victory over empiricism but simply because science has nothing to say about the matter doesn’t mean that no rational inquiry need apply.

For instance, science can demonstrate that the world doesn’t appear to be 6000 years old but it can’t disprove what is sometimes called the Omphalos hypothesis, the idea that the Universe was created by God with features that made it appear older than it was. So, the creationist would say, the Earth seems to be billions of years old and species seem to have evolved largely through natural selection but God only made it look like that way. Appealing to God like this isn’t predictive, unless you are to argue because you know the mind of God that it had to create a universe that appears as ours does, so whatever universe we do observe is just one of an infinite possible number of theistic universes because God could theoretically make the universe appear any age. This means the appeal to God has not narrowed our expectations of the apparent age of the universe but merely appealed to one of an infinite number of scenarios. Contrarily the age of stars, the cosmic microwave background radiation, Hubble’s law, etc. all independently serve to predict the age of our universe to be within a limited range and the fact they all converge on a similar age greatly reduces the array of possible answers for the actual age.

If, as a friend of mine likes to say, you know you have a rolled a three on a die and you posses only a four-sided die and a twenty-sided die which die is it more likely to that you rolled? Obviously it is the four sided die and it would only become more likely if you instead possessed only a four-sided die and a hundred-sided die. Expanding the larger die out to be infinite-sided, as supernatural explanations do, doesn’t mean that you can no longer reason about which is more probable. Quite the contrary, it becomes vastly more likely that the result is from the die with less possible outcomes.

What this analogy highlights is any supernatural solution to disconfirming evidence which places that theory firmly outside of the field of science just appeals to a “explanation” which is not predictive and infinite in scope which must be weighed against more limited range of natural predictive explanations which would explain the phenomena. This same principle holds for claims that psi-phenomena do exist or that prayer does work but only when they aren’t tested, that species only seemed to have evolved and existed based upon survival and so on for every attempt to explain away why our observations don’t match up with a supernatural phenomena. So just because you can never demonstrate using science that the entire universe wasn’t created last Thursday that certainly doesn’t mean it’s probable or reasonable to conclude that it was.

Coveted Golden Crocoduck Nominees 2012 (Part 1)

The first three golden crocoduck nominees of the year. These videos always make me laugh.

potholer54

Happy Darwin Day

Happy Darwin Day